667
FXUS63 KLBF 141130
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
630 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Well below normal temperatures are expected today with afternoon
  highs ranging from the upper 60s to lower 70s.

- Mainly dry conditions are expected over the next 7 days. There
  is a minor threat for precipitation across northeastern
  portions of the FA Tuesday night and across the whole FA on
  Saturday.

- Temperatures will trend upward beginning Monday with
  widespread 80s expected for the week. Some lower 90s are
  possible in southern areas Tuesday, Wednesday, Friday and
  Saturday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 316 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Dry conditions will then persist through Sunday night as high
pressure gradually returns to the region today. Cold air advection
behind the departing trough will bring a return to 850 mb
temperatures in the 8 to 11 C range into north central Nebraska.
This will keep highs on the cooler side of guidance (5 to 10 degrees
below normal) with forecasted temperatures ranging from the mid 60s
in the Pine Ridge and the eastern Panhandle to the low 70s across
extreme north central Nebraska. Continued CAA into the region into
Sunday night will keep overnight lows nearly 10 degrees cooler than
normal for this time of year as well. Currently expecting
temperatures to drop into the low to mid 40s for most locations.

Strong upper level ridging across the western US will keep high
pressure over the region through Monday and into Monday night. This
will result in dry conditions persisting across the region. However,
as ridging builds to the west, some warmer air will be able to push
into Nebraska by Monday. Highs will rise into the upper 70s to low
80s with lows dropping into the upper 40s to low 50s. Despite this
warmer air, these temperatures are still slightly below normal.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 316 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Persistent, upper level low pressure will remain entrenched
across Hudson Bay, Ontario and northern Manitoba this week.
Persistent northwesterly and west- northwesterly flow aloft will
remain largely unchanged for Tuesday through Saturday. Within
this northwesterly flow aloft there will be periodic chances for
light precipitation from the Dakotas into the upper midwest.
The first disturbance will track through the Dakotas Tuesday
night, bringing modest slight chance pops to the northeastern
forecast area Tuesday night. A second, stronger disturbance,
will drive a cold front through the forecast area Wednesday
night. ATTM, forcing for precipitation remains more favorable
off to the northeast of the forecast area. This leads to a dry
forecast per the latest NBM soln. The latest NBM ensembles have
a zero to 10 percent chance of measurable (0.01") of
precipitation across all of western and north central Nebraska
Tuesday through Thursday. Looking at the deterministic GFS and
EC solns, there is indications of a threat for precipitation
Wednesday night with the FROPA over northeastern Nebraska. ATTM,
will follow the dry NBM forecast, however wouldn`t be surprised
if low pops will need to be added in subsequent forecasts. As
for temperatures this week, warm air, locked in over the SW
CONUS, will drift northeast periodically this week. This will
lead to the potential for 90+ degree highs over SW Nebraska. For
highs Tuesday and Wednesday, some lower to middle 90s are
possible in southwestern areas. Slightly cooler readings in the
80s are expected on Thursday behind the exiting cold front
Wednesday night. Readings will warm back into the 90s for Friday
and Saturday across SW Nebraska. By next weekend, the upper
level low over Hudson Bay, will begin to migrate east. This will
place the forecast area in a more zonal pattern aloft. With low
level moisture increasing next weekend, the threat for
thunderstorms will increase Saturday and beyond.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 630 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

For the KLBF terminal: Expect mostly cloudy skies through this
afternoon with broken ceilings around 10000 FT AGL. Clouds
should scatter out by evening with ceilings lifting to 25000 FT
AGL. For the KVTN terminal: Expect mainly clear skies over the
next 24 hours with scattered cloudiness around 25000 FT AGL.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 316 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

After cool temperatures today, readings will reach around 80
degrees on Monday. Minimum RH Monday afternoon will fall off to
around 15 to 20 percent, generally north of a line from Grant to
O`Neill. West winds will become gusty Monday afternoon with
gust potential of 30 to 40 MPH in the eastern panhandle and
western Sandhills. With fuel partners indicating fuels are ready
to burn in zone 204, decided to hoist a fire weather watch for
Monday afternoon/early evening for forecast zone 204. Near
critical, and possibly critical, fire weather conditions will be
possible Tuesday through Friday across the eastern Panhandle
and western Sandhills.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Fire Weather Watch from Monday afternoon through Monday
evening for NEZ204.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Kulik
LONG TERM...Buttler
AVIATION...Buttler
FIRE WEATHER...Buttler

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion