786
FXUS63 KLBF 131945
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
145 PM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cool and breezy conditions continue into this weekend, with
  highs in the 40s to low 50s expected.

- Light rain is possible for areas south of Interstate 80
  Saturday night into Sunday, with accumulations generally 0.10"
  or less.

- Temperatures warm back into the 50s to low 60s for midweek,
  along with breezy southeast winds continuing.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 145 PM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

Currently, stratus continues to erode across portions of western and
southwest Nebraska, leading to a wide range in current temperatures.
Temperatures range from the upper 30s under the stratus to the upper
40s to lower 50s elsewhere. Winds are breezy from the southeast,
with gusts as high as 20 to 25 miles per hour.

For tonight, expect the aforementioned low stratus to continue to
erode by late afternoon. This looks to be short lived, however, as
continued southeasterly flow/isentropic ascent overnight will lead
to another expansion in low cloudiness across western Nebraska. The
breezy southeasterly winds look to stick around through much of the
weekend, as the area remains positioned between strong surface high
pressure in the Ohio Valley and broad surface low pressure along the
lee of the Rockies. This leads to a tightened surface pressure
gradient across the area from west to east, and will keep the breezy
southeast winds going through much of the next few days.

The next feature of note look to arrive by Saturday night, as an
upper trough begins to eject southeast out of the Rockies and into
the Southern Plains. This suggests the area will largely miss out on
any beneficial moisture, though a glancing blow of light rain
remains possible south of I-80. Probabilistic guidance supports this
notion, with the probability of even measurable (>0.01")
precipitation quickly falling to less than 5% for areas north of I-
80. The greatest probabilities for even modest (>0.10") amounts
maximize near the HWY 6 corridor, though these only peak at ~20-30%.
The greatest impact will be increasing cloud cover and a very cool
Saturday, with highs in the 40s. Add in the breezy southeast winds,
and afternoon wind chill values will struggle to leave the upper 30s
to lower 40s.

The system quickly departs by Sunday morning, with dry conditions
returning to western and north central Nebraska. A return of sunny
skies, combined with the persistent south winds, will allow
temperatures to rebound slightly Sunday afternoon. Highs in the
upper 40s to lower 50s can be expected across the area.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 145 PM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

Upper ridging begins to amplify across the central Plains as we head
into early next week, with deep upper troughing noted across the
western US. This brings a return of southwesterly flow aloft by
Tuesday, and with it temperatures moderating back to above average
by midweek. Wednesday looks to be the warmest of the week, as warm
advection further strengthens ahead of an approaching cold front.
This looks to boost highs into the upper 50s to lower 60s, with the
warmest temps east of HWY 61. The aforementioned cold front is in
response to the first of a pair of upper lows, as it ejects
northeast out of the Rockies and an associated surface low moves
across the Dakotas. This could lead to light rain north of HWY 2,
though confidence in this remains low for now.

Guidance continues to hint at another system approaching the area by
late week and into next weekend, though solutions diverge greatly
with respect to both track and strength. This lends very low
confidence, especially with timing and amounts of any associated
precipitation. That said, this does look to be the next shot at any
beneficial moisture locally, along with some threat for strong
winds, and will continue to be monitored closely. Until details
become more clear, amounts and precipitation types will remain
uncertain late week across western and north central Nebraska.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1135 AM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

Low stratus persists into early afternoon, with IFR/MVFR CIGs
continuing. This stratus is expected to erode by late afternoon,
with VFR conditions briefly returning into this evening.
Additional low stratus development is then expected overnight,
primarily for terminals west of Highway 83.

Winds remain gusty from the southeast today and tonight, with
gusts of 25 to 35kts expected for all terminals.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Brown
LONG TERM...Brown
AVIATION...Brown

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion