294
FXUS63 KLBF 100601
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
101 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Well above normal temperatures this weekend with highs in the
  upper 80s to low 90s.

- Elevated to near-critical fire weather concerns for Saturday
across western Nebraska.

- Cooler temperatures next week and increasing chances for
precipitation by middle of the week

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 353 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

Southwest flow continues into Saturday as the upper
level ridge continues to push eastward. WAA will spread across
western Nebraska and temperatures will once again push well above
normal for this time of year with highs reaching the upper 80s to
low 90s. 850 temps will be around 25 degrees are higher and with
deep layer mixing bring the warmer temperatures will reach the 90s
across western and southwest Nebraska. Although temperatures will be
hot and will see dry conditions with min RH around 15 to 25 percent
generally from HWY 83 west, winds should remain lighter. Winds in
the mid levels will only be around 25 kts across western Nebraska
and even with deep mixing do not expect any stronger winds, thus do
not expect the need for any fire headlines Saturday, but will see
elevated to near-critical fire weather concerns. The area where near-
critical fire weather concerns exist will generally be western fire
weather zone 204, generally west of a line from Valentine to
Oshkosh.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 353 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

A weak cold front will come move southward from the
northern Plains into northwest Sandhills by Sunday morning.
Despite the advancing cold front will still see temperatures
above normal on Sunday, with the warmest temperatures across
southwest Nebraska where the front will be slower to advance
through, highs will reach the upper 80s. Across northern
Nebraska temperatures will only reach the low to mid 70s as the
front will pass through before peak heating. The front stalls
out Monday, keeping one more day 80s across far southwest
Nebraska. As far as overnight lows on Sunday night and Monday
night, not expecting at this time to see any need for any
frost/freeze headlines, although overnight temps do cool
considerably by Monday night, with temperatures in the low 40s,
increased cloudiness overnight will likely keep temperatures in
the low 40s or possibly see an increasing trend of overnight
lows as cloud coverage looks to be expanding with latest model
guidance due to some influence of tropical moisture from
southwest.

From mid-week til the end of the long term period, will see a cooler
air mass settle in to the region and temperatures will cool to near
normal with highs in the 60s to low 70s. There will also be chances
for precipitation with increase moisture and weak disturbances on
Tuesday night through early Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 100 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

Generally, VFR conditions will persist through Saturday night as dry
and quiet weather conditions continue under high pressure. While
winds remain light throughout the daytime, stronger winds through
sunrise this morning and again on tonight will result in some low
level wind shear across the region. Some minor impacts could be seen
at both airports due to wind shear.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Gomez
LONG TERM...Gomez
AVIATION...Kulik

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion