712
FXUS63 KLBF 031136
AFDLBF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
536 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Light rain showers will continue overnight into this morning for
most locations across the forecast area, lingering into this
afternoon and evening for northeastern portions of the forecast
area.
- Gusty northwesterly winds will continue overnight into this
afternoon with gusts of 40 to 50 MPH possible.
- Near seasonal temperatures with mostly dry conditions are
expected through the weekend. Temperatures may climb slightly
above normal by late weekend into early next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 211 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026
Today and Tonight...A closed upper low was currently located over
south central KS with an open trough extending north into eastern
ND. Strong northerly winds aloft extended from the Dakotas south
across western NE into western KS. Gusty northwest winds will
increase overnight to 20 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph. Scattered
light rain showers overnight as the closed low lifts into central KS
by 12Z. Light rain showers will end across the west this morning as
the upper low lifts into northeast KS. Wrap around showers will
remain across the east this afternoon as the upper low lifts into
the mid Missouri Valley by early this evening. Northwest winds 25 to
35 mph with occasional gusts from 40 to 50 mph possible. Colder air
drawn in behind the system with H85 temperatures only 4 to 5C.
Afternoon highs 45 to 50, with low 50s far southwest. Tonight, a
slight chance for light showers far northeast this evening,
otherwise mainly clear skies across the west with cloudy skies
persisting across the northeast. Northwest winds will decouple
across the west at 5 to 15 mph, while breezy across the northeast.
Lows coldest across the west from the upper 20s to lower 30s while
far eastern areas range in the mid to upper 30s.
Wednesday and Wednesday night...The closed low will lift into MN and
WI on Wednesday, with a chance for showers across the far northeast.
A breezy northwest wind across north central NE. Highs from near 45
far northeast to 50 to 55 southwestern areas, where skies will
remain mostly sunny. An upstream upper trough will move across CO
into western KS, drawing the upper trough southward across central
and eastern NE. This will bring a chance for light showers to much
of north central into central NE overnight and cloudy skies
overnight. Lows not as cold in the mid 30s.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 211 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026
An upper level high is expected to track across the northern Plains,
while the southern jet stream remains well south of the region. This
pattern will bring us more towards seasonal high temperatures
Thursday into the weekend, with mostly dry conditions expected. With
the upper high remaining across the northern Plains, expecting that
the upper level trough forecast for this weekend will continue to
remain well north of the region. Latest guidance continues to show
this trend, and with this northern trend, expecting little to no
precipitation this weekend. Even latest ensemble guidance is now
picking up on this northern trend, keeping a less than 10 percent
chance for measureable precipitation this weekend. As for
temperatures, expecting that highs will mostly remain in the 50s
this week, with slightly warming highs to the upper 50s and possibly
lower 60s by this weekend. This is around normal for this time of
year, as typical highs for early November are around 55 to 58
degrees.
By early next week, slight upper level ridging is expected to build
across the northern Plains. This may lead to subtle temperature
increases, with the current forecast bringing highs into the low to
mid 60s. This would push highs around 5 to 10 degrees above normal.
However, will continue to keep an eye on the forecast trends this
week, as guidance comes into better consensus resolving the upper
level pattern after this weekend.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 536 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026
MVFR to IFR conditions prevail this morning as the stratus deck
remains in place across western and north central Nebraska, with
scattered shower activity. Throughout the day, expect skies to clear
from west to east, with stratus remaining in place across north
central Nebraska. Gusty northwest winds will also continue
throughout the day, with gusts up to 40 knots across the Sandhills.
By the evening, expecting an inversion will develop, bringing a stop
to the gusty winds. This evening and overnight, most of the region
should expect VFR conditions, however, portions of north central
Nebraska, including KVTN may still be impacted by the cloud deck.
Will continue to refine the overnight period in follow up TAFs.
&&
.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Roberg
LONG TERM...Richie
AVIATION...Richie
NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion