776
FXUS63 KLBF 310532
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1232 AM CDT Sat Oct 31 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Patchy fog is likely overnight into Saturday morning across portions
  of western, southwest and north central Nebraska

- Scattered rain showers possible tonight and through the day Saturday

- Another system arrives late Sunday into Tuesday bringing a
  chance of widespread precipitation

- Strong winds Monday and Tuesday, especially across western
  Nebraska

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 425 PM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

The main concern in the short term will be fog potential
and the chance for precipitation the remainder of this afternoon
through Saturday. There will be a weak boundary that continues to
lift northward this afternoon into portions of north central
Nebraska extending back into southwest Nebraska, providing weak mid
level lift to the area. For locations generally from O`Neill to
Thedford to Hayes Center there will be weak instability with
MUCAPE values ranging from mostly 500 J/kg across that area,
with the exception of far north central Nebraska, generally Holt
County northward where CAPE values will be nearing 1000 J/kg.
The outlined area will have the greatest potential to see an
isolated thunderstorms, along with rain showers into the evening
hours. For areas west, generally expect stratus to continue
with a potential for drizzle in some locations, but not
widespread during the remainder of the afternoon/evening hours.

As for the fog potential tonight, patchy fog looks likely and there
is the potential for fog to become more widespread in the overnight
hours across portions of western, southwest and north central
Nebraska again tonight. Probabilities of widespread dense fog
with visibilities less than a 1/4 mile generally around 60
percent for portions of western, southwest and north central
Nebraska. A Dense Fog Advisory has been issued for the area
starting late tonight through Saturday morning for southwest
into portions of central Nebraska and the Sandhills.

For Saturday there will be a chance of scattered rain showers as a
SW trof lifts into the area. There will be a chance of scattered
chances throughout the day, with the greater potential for rain
showers generally HWY 61 and east with QPF amounts light most of the
day with less than 0.05" expected through 00z Sunday.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 425 PM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

Another system will move in early next week as a long way
trof moves into the Central Plains. Chances for precipitation will
increase Monday and Tuesday. As the low tracks across the area will
also see winds increase with wind speeds around 25 to 35 mph for
Monday and Tuesday and wind gusts of 50 mph. Will need to monitor as
they system gets closer to see if any headlines for high winds will
be needed. As for temperatures through the week, expect highs in the
50s Tuesday through Thursday. After Tuesday expect drier conditions
through Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1231 AM CDT Sat Oct 31 2026

Stratus remains across most of western and north central Nebraska
tonight, with areas of fog across the region. This is largely
leading to MVFR and IFR conditions, though localized LIFR conditions
are also observed. As fog spreads overnight, expecting mostly IFR to
LIFR conditions, as ceilings are not expected to improve. Shortly
after daybreak, winds are expected to increase out of the south,
which should help erode the fog, however, the low stratus is
expected to remain in place across most of the region. Winds become
gusty by late morning, with gusts of 20 to 25 knots across most of
the region. May begin to see some locations improve to MVFR
conditions through the afternoon, though a return to IFR conditions
is expected by the evening as ceilings lower once again.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ this morning
for NEZ035>038-056>059-069>071.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Gomez
LONG TERM...Gomez
AVIATION...Richie

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion