483
FXUS63 KLBF 140732
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
232 AM CDT Mon Sep 14 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Stratus will erode by late morning as a warm front lifts
  north. Highs this afternoon much warmer from the mid 80s, to
  around 90 southwest.

- Chances for showers and a few thunderstorms this evening and
overnight, mainly across southwest into central Nebraska.

- Near daily chances for precipitation through the week

- High temperatures will remain in the 70s to low 80s thorugh
  the week into the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 227 AM CDT Mon Sep 14 2026

Today, an upper trough will move from MT and WY into the Dakotas, as
an upper trough extends back into northern CA. This will bring a
west-southwest flow in the mid and upper levels. A warm front will
lift north into northeast NE as a cold front drops south across
north central NE. This will bring a strong warmup. Morning stratus
should erode by midday, with some afternoon sun. Highs will be
much warmer from the mid 80s, with near 90 southwest. A surface
trough will reside to our southeast from northwest KS into east
central NE. This will be a focus for strong to severe storms. At
this time, the threat remains southeast of the area. After
morning chances for showers and a few thunderstorms in the east,
the cold front advancing south will become a focus for
thunderstorm development during the evening across southwest
into central NE. A few storms could contain gusty winds and
small hail. Behind the cold front, lows will fall to 45 to 50
northwest Sandhills, to mid 50s southeast.

Tuesday, cooler H85 temperatures from 10 to 13C behind the cold
front. Highs from 71 to 74 with highs about 5 degrees below normal.
The cold front will push south to the Okla Pnhdl through southeast
KS. Partly cloudy and dry with a northeast wind becoming easterly in
the afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 227 AM CDT Mon Sep 14 2026

For Wednesday, slightly warmer temperatures are expected north
of the frontal boundary that will be situated south across
northern KS. WAA, greatest across western Nebraska will lead to
a return of the lower 80s for areas generally west of HWY 83.
Areas along and east will still remain cooler with highs in the
70s. A SW trof will begin to advance eastward from the the
western CONUS will increase lift in the evening and overnight
hours, increasing the chance for showers and thunderstorms. At
this time the environment does not look favorable for severe
weather across the forecast area with marginal CAPE values
around 500 to 800 J/kg and weak shear. The better environment
will be southward into northern KS where CAPE will be at 1000
J/kg or greater and better forcing exist.

As for precipitation chances the remainder of the forecast period,
there will be several weak disturbances that will move through the
region with nearly daily precipitation chances possible. At
this time the chance for severe weather remains relatively low
with weak forcing. Temperatures through the week will generally
remain near normal for this time of year with highs in the 70s
to low 80s.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1212 AM CDT Mon Sep 14 2026

Aviation concerns will be IFR ceilings falling to LIFR at KLBF
and KVTN by 10Z. At KLBF, LLWS will also be a concern until 14Z.
At KVTN, fog will also exist with visibility near 3SM, and
possibly lower until 14Z. Ceilings should improved to VFR after
16Z at KLBF and KVTN.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Roberg
LONG TERM...Gomez
AVIATION...Roberg

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion