163
FXUS63 KLBF 081717
AFDLBF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1117 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Breezy southwesterly winds Sunday afternoon, greatest across
western Nebraska and NW Sandhills
- Temperatures mostly remain above seasonal through the week,
with highs in the 60s. However, more seasonal temperatures are
possible midweek across north central Nebraska.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 243 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
The main concern in the short term will high temperatures both
Sunday and Monday and wind speeds Sunday. A weak upper level
ridge spreads eastward into the Central Plains Sunday and
Monday. WAA with 850 temps around 10 to 15 degrees celsius Sun.
and Mon. and mid level winds around 25 to 35 mph Sun. will
sufficiently mix in the afternoon. Will see sfc temperatures on
both Sunday and Monday reaching the 60s, and with the strong
southwesterly winds trended Sunday highs towards the 90
percentile.
For winds, the strongest mid level winds will be on Sunday and will
mix to the sfc around 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph, with the
strongest winds generally across western Nebraska and into the
northwest Sandhills Sunday afternoon. Winds on Monday are not
expected to be breezy. There will also be the potential for an
elevated fire weather concern Sunday, across fire weather zone
204, where the strongest winds and min RH around 30 to 35
percent coincide.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 243 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
Upper level ridging is expected to set up across the region most of
this week, which will largely support a dry forecast. However, a
shortwave is expected to track across the Dakotas Tuesday afternoon
into Wednesday night that may provide a slight cool off for portions
of the region this week. Most of the forecast region is expected to
see above average temperatures, with highs in the mid 60s. However,
following the shortwave, cool air advection aloft is expected across
eastern Nebraska, which may spill over into northeast portions of
the forecast region. Even with this push of cooler air aloft, highs
across north central Nebraska remain near seasonal, with highs in
the lower to mid 50s expected through Thursday. Something else to
keep an eye on will be the increasing winds Tuesday and Wednesday as
a surface low tracks across South Dakota. Southwesterly to westerly
winds are expected on Tuesday, with gusts up to 30 mph. By
Wednesday, northwest winds with gusts up to 35 mph are possible.
With humidity currently expected to drop as low as 25 to 30 percent
both days, will need to closely monitor for potential elevated fire
weather concerns. Though a surface low is expected to track across
South Dakota, still not expecting any precipitation across the
forecast region.
By late week, upper level ridging becomes fully established across
the region, continuing to limit precipitation potential. As this
builds in, warmer temperatures aloft track in from the west, which
should push the region back to above seasonal temperatures. Will
still keep an eye on the western extent of the cooler air, as some
guidance keeps this over the very northeastern portions of the CWA.
However, for the most part, highs are expected to rise back into the
60s across the entire region, with mid 60s remaining across the
western portion of the region. However, some of the higher end
guidance does suggest the potential for some locations to possibly
break into the lower 70s. Either way, this remains well above
average for mid November, when typical highs drop into the lower
50s.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1116 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
VFR conditions will persist through Monday morning. The only
aviation concern will be some stronger winds across the Sandhills
and northern Nebraska this afternoon and into the evening. Southwest
gusts up to 25 knots could be possible. Winds will diminish slightly
through the overnight hours before increasing once again by late
Monday morning. Elsewhere, winds are anticipated to remain below 15
knots through the TAF period.
&&
.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Gomez
LONG TERM...Richie
AVIATION...Kulik
NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion