564
FXUS63 KLBF 071144
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
644 AM CDT Tue Apr 7 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Mild temperatures through the rest of the week with highs in
  the 50s and 60s

- Precipitation chances increase towards the end of the week

- Much warmer temperatures for the weekend with highs in the 70s
  to low 80s

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 319 AM CDT Tue Apr 7 2026

Today through Wednesday...Mid level forcing will
transition east of the forecast area by sunrise. With tonight`s
NAM12 soln and 00z HRRR, the timing of this forcing has sped up
compared to previous model solutions. That being said, will trend
pops downward this morning, ending the threat by 15z today. For the
remainder of today, skies will remain mostly cloudy this morning
with easterly winds as a warm front remains stalled out off to the
south of the forecast area. Later this afternoon, this feature will
begin to lift north as a warm front. Looking at the latest NAM12
soln tonight and the 00z HRRR soln, the front approaches the I80
corridor late afternoon. With the front only making it as far north
as I-80 Tuesday afternoon, highs will struggle to get out of the 50s
for most areas. Some lower 60s will be possible in the far southwest
and portions of the eastern Panhandle. A northern stream trough of
low pressure will track across southwestern Canada tonight, inducing
surface cyclogenesis over SW Montana/NE Wyoming. Southerly winds
will increase in advance of the surface low, persisting into the
overnight. This will lead to mild temperatures across the forecast
area tonight with lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s. As the surface
low tracks across South Dakota Wednesday morning, it will drag a
cold front through the forecast area. This feature will pass through
most of the forecast area by midday with the front stalling out over
northern Kansas. A mid level disturbance will trigger showers and
thunderstorms INVOF the front Wednesday evening. The latest NBM
initialized with the front further south, so pops Wednesday
afternoon were eliminated from this forecast package.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 319 AM CDT Tue Apr 7 2026

Mild temperatures continue towards the end of the week as zonal
flow returns Thursday and Friday. Southerly flow will lead to
moisture advection combined with a couple of weak sw
disturbances Thursday and Friday will lead to an increase in
precipitation chances. Expect the main mode to remain all rain
on Thursday and Friday with highs in the 50s and 60s. There
could be a brief period of a rain/snow mix across the northern
Sandhills and north central Nebraska Thursday night into Friday
morning as lows will be in the upper 20s to low 30s. Expect
precipitation to remain as rain even in the overnight period on
Friday night as lows will be very mild with temperatures in the
40s. As for rainfall amounts, QPF values will remain low
however as probabilities of qpf values greater than 0.05" will
generally be less than 40 percent over a 12 hour period on
Thursday and Friday.

The greater chance of higher qpfs will be across central and eastern
Nebraska. A better chance for precipitation arrives Saturday as a
upper level trof moves into the area Saturday. There will also be
some weak instability on Saturday, greatest across southwest into
north central Nebraska, bringing the potential of some isolated
thunderstorm activity Saturday afternoon. High pressure builds in
across the western CONUS by the end of the week and will move
eastward into the High Plains by this weekend, with temperatures
reaching the 70s and 80s both Saturday and Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 638 AM CDT Tue Apr 7 2026

MVFR conditions will be possible this morning across portions of
southwest Nebraska, including KLBF terminal. VFR conditions will
prevail this afternoon and the remainder of the forecast period.
Winds will be out of the southeast around 10 to 15 kts with gust
up to 30 kts across the northern Sandhills, including KVTN
terminal. Winds will shift to the southwest tonight around 10
to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 kts. &&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Buttler
LONG TERM...Gomez
AVIATION...Gomez

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion