590
FXUS63 KLBF 071110
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
510 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Patchy fog will be possible across the far eastern portions of
  the forecast area early this morning.

- Dry conditions are expected Sunday night through Friday.

- Daily highs will be 5 to 10 degrees above normal Monday
  through Wednesday with readings in the lower to middle 60s.
  Readings will be cooler Thursday and Friday with highs in the
  50s. Some upper 40s are possible in the far northeastern
  forecast area.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 311 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026

The main concern in the short term will be fog potential
tonight and high temperatures this weekend. For fog potential
tonight, CAMS continue favor any fog development generally along and
east of HWY 83, where winds will remain light and variable overnight
and moisture advects into the area. Confidence is low in
widespread development of fog tonight and any fog that develops
should remain patchy, thus no headlines for fog have been issued
with this forecast package. As for low temperatures tonight,
made slight adjustments to temperatures, but could potentially
see lows dip lower then 30 degrees across western Nebraska given
the clear skies, but winds are expected to remain a little
breezier there so should keep some mixing overnight.

As for highs this weekend, weak ridging begins to develop across the
western CONUS and moves eastward into the Central Plains. 850 temps
range around 10 to 14 degrees celsius both days with good WAA will
mix temperatures to the sfc into the low to mid 60s across north
central Nebraska and the Sandhills with upper 60s across southwest
Nebraska both days. Could also see the potential for some elevated
fire weather concerns on Sunday afternoon across fire weather zone
204 as winds will increase across the northwest Sandhills Sunday
afternoon around 15 to 20 mph with gust around 30 mph or more
and min RH will be around 30 percent.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 311 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026

Low amplitude flow across the central CONUS, will persist
through Tuesday night, becoming more amplified beginning
Wednesday. Ridging will amplify across the western third of the
CONUS, while at the same time, a broad trough of low pressure
will deepen across the eastern 2/3rds of the CONUS. As the
trough deepens Wednesday into the end of next week, colder air
will drop south from eastern Canada into the upper Midwest and
Great Lakes. This trough will force a back door cold front into
the eastern half of Nebraska Wednesday night into Thursday. The
latest EC and GFS ensemble forecast has trended highs downward
for Thursday and Friday and readings are now below the latest
NBM ensemble forecast. The WPC forecast tonight initialized with
upper 50s for highs Thursday and Friday for North Platte which
is a downward trend from the previous forecast. This seems
reasonable based on the latest deterministic EC and GFS solns
tonight and the downward trend in the EC and GFS ensemble
forecast. Feel the WPC forecast high temps Thursday and Friday
are a good compromise between the warmest NBM numbers, and
coolest MEX statistical guidance. Beyond Friday, the upper level
trough across the eastern CONUS, will be forced east as ridging
over the western CONUS, transitions east into the Rockies and
high plains. With the ridge building into the central CONUS next
weekend, highs should reach back into the 60s for Saturday and
Sunday (11-14 and 11-15). Dry conditions appear likely for
Sunday nigh through Friday. However, will need to monitor the
possible threat for light precipitation INVOF the back door
front late Wednesday night into Thursday as the latest
deterministic GFS currently develops some light QPF across
central portions of Nebraska.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 510 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026

For the KLBF terminal: Patchy fog will be possible through 17z
this morning with periodic visibilities down to 1/2SM and
ceilings around 200 FT AGL. After late morning, expect scattered
high clouds around 25000 FT AGL to persist through 12z Sunday.
For the KVTN terminal: Expect scattered high clouds to persist
over the next 24 hours with ceilings around 25000 FT AGL.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Gomez
LONG TERM...Buttler
AVIATION...Buttler

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion