550
FXUS63 KLBF 312000
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
300 PM CDT Sat Oct 31 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Moderate to high confidence in continued light showers through
this evening with patchy fog early Sunday morning.

- Moderate to high confidence in increasing precipitation potential
by the end of the weekend and into the beginning of next
week.

- Moderate confidence in cooler and dry conditions by mid-week
lasting through the end of the week.


&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 257 PM CDT Sat Oct 31 2026

Isolated to scattered showers will continue through the evening
hours. Any additional rainfall amounts will only total a couple
hundredths, so significant rainfall is not anticipated with this
system. As rain tapers off by late evening, ample moisture across
the region will promote an increase in fog development heading into
the wee hours of Sunday morning. Not anticipating dense fog, but
some patchy fog primarily along and south of Highway 2 could limit
visibilities down to 2 miles at times. Still, those traveling early
Sunday morning should allow for extra time and be prepared for
rapidly changing conditions. Patchy fog will continue through the
morning hours, giving way to low stratus by early afternoon lasting
through late afternoon. While no precipitation is expected during
the day on Sunday, cloudy and dreary conditions will be likely and
with some low clouds hanging around much of the day, would not be
surprised to see some light drizzle as well. Confidence is too low
to put into the forecast at this time, but worth a mention here for
those hoping for a completely dry forecast by the afternoon.
Irrespective of the cloudy conditions, temperatures are anticipated
to warm adequately into the low to mid 60s for most locations. Some
areas across the eastern Panhandle will only rise into the upper
50s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 257 PM CDT Sat Oct 31 2026

A better potential for significant rainfall arrives Sunday night
lasting into Tuesday. A developing low pressure system off the
Rockies will push eastward into Nebraska and South Dakota bringing
widespread rain showers and even some isolated thunderstorms to the
region. While QPF amounts are still a little uncertain, confidence
is high that most locations, especially north of Highway 2, will see
at least a half inch of rainfall. Currently, the best instability
will remain off to the east and south keeping the severe risk low,
however, QPF could exceed over an inch under some of the heavier
showers or thunderstorms. While these rainfall totals are
significant, the longer duration of this system should keep any
flooding concerns at bay. Still, will be monitoring the rainfall
totals and flooding potential closely as the event unfolds. Will
also need to monitor the precipitation type as the system begins to
push out Monday night and Tuesday morning. Colder air filtering in
behind the departing low may result in a brief change over to snow
across the higher elevations of the Pine Ridge. At this time,
confidence remains too low to put in the forecast, but if the colder
air can push in quickly, it will be possible to see a few wet
snowflakes early Tuesday morning. Regardless if this happens, not
expecting any accumulations.

Drier weather returns for mid-week through the end of the week as
upper level ridging builds back over the Great Plains. Despite the
quieter conditions, temperatures will remain slightly below normals
Wednesday through Friday. Highs will remain in the low to mid 50s
across the area (normals in the upper 50s to low 60s). Lows will
drop into the low to mid 30s, which coincidentally is a few degrees
above normals in the upper 20s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1233 PM CDT Sat Oct 31 2026

Isolated showers will persist through this evening impacting mainly
areas along and east of US-83. Expect reduced visibilities due to
falling rain and light fog as low as 2 miles at times. Ceilings will
generally remain at or below 1000 feet across southwest Nebraska.
Further to the north, ceilings will gradually lift to 2000 feet by
Sunday morning. Precipitation will push out by late evening giving
way to a brief dry period before the next system arrives Sunday
night.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Kulik
LONG TERM...Kulik
AVIATION...Kulik

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion