529
FXUS63 KLBF 161126
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
526 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Mild temperatures are expected for one more day today, with
  highs in the 60s across much of the area.

- A more active weather pattern is expected over the upcoming
  week, with the first threat for precipitation arriving on
  Monday.

- A low confidence scenario exists late week, with the potential
  for widespread beneficial precipitation Thursday into Friday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 356 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025

Currently, temperatures have fallen into the 30s across the area
under partly cloudy skies. Surface high pressure over is centered
over eastern South Dakota is leading to light south winds early this
morning. Aloft, upper level ridging is located just upstream over
the Rockies, with an upper low over southern California/Nevada.

For today, the area will remain under the influence of the shortwave
ridging aloft, as it translates overhead through the afternoon. As
the upper low begins to cross into the Rockies later today, surface
cyclogenesis gets underway across eastern Wyoming and Colorado. With
surface high pressure slowly exiting off to the east and deepening
low pressure to the west, southerly flow strengthens across the area
this afternoon in response. This promotes one more mild day, with
highs returning to the 60s for all west of HWY 281. East of HWY 281,
southerly flow remains meager in the vicinity of the surface high,
and temperatures look to remain in the upper 50s. Lows tonight only
fall into the upper 30s, with southerly flow persisting across the
area.

By Monday morning, the upper low will begin to eject across western
Nebraska, with the associated surface low ejecting across southwest
Nebraska/northwest Kansas. Unfortunately for much of the area, the
track of the upper low suggests much of the area will remain in the
dry slot and be largely devoid of precipitation on Monday. The
exception to this would be far northern Nebraska, near and north of
HWY 20, in the initial deformation axis before it pivots north into
South Dakota. The next would be central and north central Nebraska,
near and east of HWY 281, as scattered showers develop along and
ahead of the surface cold front. This points to much of the
Sandhills, western and southwest Nebraska remaining dry with this
early week system. Further north and east, light accumulations
(

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion