753
FXUS63 KLBF 262049
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
349 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cold temperatures tonight, with lows near or below freezing
  expected

- Chance of patchy fog tonight into Tuesday morning


- Warmer, drier conditions expected to return by the middle of
  the week with daytime highs in the mid 60s to near 70F.

- Increasing potential for multiple disturbances arriving this
  weekend and continuing into early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 335 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

The main concern in the short term will be the low
temperatures tonight and the potential for fog Tuesday morning. As
the dry tongue continues to push in from the southwest dry air will
entrain into the area and lingering rain will begin to
dissipate and rotate out of the area, with rain coming to an
end across north central Nebraska by early evening. This then
turns our attention to the overnight lows. A few of the models
have trended towards significantly lower temperatures than the
previous forecast. However uncertainty remains on just how cold
temperatures will get tonight with cloud coverage. Do think we
might see some areas of scattered to broken cloud coverage
across southwest Nebraska this evening but uncertainty remains
on just how much clearing will occur this evening, before
additional low to mid level clouds build back in overnight.
Because of this, did trend to the cooler temperatures, but did
not go aggressive with the lows, as confidence in clouds
remaining more scattered through the overnight to allow
temperatures to plummet is quite low and there is greater
confidence in more overcast skies through the overnight and
early morning as additional moisture streams into the area.

As for the potential of fog tonight into tomorrow morning. The
recent rainfall and light winds, combined with the cooler
temperatures will bring the potential for fog development as early
as this evening. Will see winds become light and variable near
sunset, generally less than 5 mph. Will likely see stratus develop
overnight and could see patchy fog across western and southwest
Nebraska, along with the northern Sandhills. Decided not to issue
any headlines at this time due to the uncertainty on how
widespread or dense the fog will be tonight/Tuesday morning.
Winds will increase by Tuesday late morning with wind speeds
around 10 to 20 mph and should see any fog that does develop
will disperse by late morning.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 335 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

A strong jet will settle across the Pacific Northwest in the upper
levels through the mid to late week. Height rises will build in
across the Northern Plains bringing calmer weather to the region.
Daytime highs will climb in to mid 60s to near 70s across western
and north central Nebraska, Wednesday through most of the weekend.
This will be about 5 to 10F degrees above climatological norms
for this time of the year. By the end of the week, a closed low
will make landfall in the Pacific Northwest/Canada border,
creating deep troughing southward of it across the West Coast.
This will be the next system to keep an eye of as it should lead
to more southwesterly flow aloft in the Plains region and
forecasted to have multiple shortwaves crossing the Rockies over
the next week or so. As such, models have started to catch on
to the potential for increased precipitation chances for our
region heading into the weekend and early next week. As it
stands now, the early weekend precipitation potential looks to
remain isolated in nature across southwest to central Nebraska,
with limited accumulations expected. The late weekend to early
next week disturbance brings a better potential for meaningful
precipitation potential in way of mostly rain, wintery mix
possible in the overnights. This is with the added caveat of
greater uncertainty even with both the Euro and GFS both
agreeing on overall coverage but differing on intensity and
precipitation type. With details still being murky, this will be
something to keep an eye on with subsequent forecast details.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 653 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

MVFR to IFR conditions will continue through  afternoon as
stratus and fog continues to affect the area this afternoon.
There may be a brief break in the clouds across southwest
Nebraska this afternoon. Tonight low stratus and patchy fog
will develop, at this time how widespread the fog potential will
be remains uncertain but could see some patchy areas of dense
fog as well. Will see MVFR or lower conditions into the
overnight and early morning.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Gomez
LONG TERM...MRS
AVIATION...Gomez

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion