555
FXUS63 KLBF 061115
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
515 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A Dense Fog Advisory remains in effect until 10 am CT / 9 am
  MT today for portions of north central to southwest Nebraska.
  Additional patchy fog will be possible Friday night through
  Saturday morning across portions of northeast Nebraska.

- Dry conditions are expected Saturday night through Thursday.

- Daily highs will be 5 to 10 degrees above normal Sunday through
  Thursday with readings in the lower to middle 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 310 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026

A upper trough has continued to move east out of the northern Plains
into the Great Lakes region, strong upper ridging starts to build in
from the west. Latest forecast soundings suggest a nocturnal
inversion continuing to develop beneath a lingering stratus deck
across north central to portions of southwest Nebraska this morning.
This, along with low-level moisture advecting into the region
continues to create patchy to widespread foggy continues this
morning. As such, a Dense Fog Advisory has remains in effect until
10 am CT / 9 am MT across portions of north central to southwest
Nebraska. Lows should generally remain near freezing to slightly
above, which should limit any freezing fog concerns at this time.

Weak northwesterly flow will give way to more zonal, westerly flow
by this afternoon, leading way to more mild daytime highs in the
50s. This could fluctuate some as there is some disagreement among
CAMs relating to how much cloud coverage remains over the region
during peak heating hours, particularity across portions of
southwest Nebraska, where cloud breaks could increase highs to the
low 60s. Later in the evening through early Saturday morning, cloud
cover will start to clear out from west to east, but still should
keep lows in the low to mid 30s across the region. Patchy fog could
again develop across the far northeast portions of our CWA where
sufficient low level moisture and weak winds overlap. However,
confidence in exact coverage and visibility drops remain low at this
time.

By Saturday, strong upper ridging starts to move across western
CONUS and reach the northern Plains by Saturday afternoon. This will
promote warmer, drier conditions that will continue through much of
the weekend and into early next week as explained further in the
long term outlook below. Continued WAA in the low to mid levels,
along with clearing cloud cover should support afternoon highs
Saturday to the low to mid 60s across the the area, with southwest
Nebraska possibly reaching the upper 60s. These temperatures will be
10 to 15 degrees above normal for early November.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 310 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026

Low amplitude ridging across the Rockies and central CONUS,
early next week, will transition to higher amplitude ridging
midweek. The latest EC and GFS ensemble forecast, along with the
NBM and NBM ensemble forecast continue to indicate a dry
forecast with no threat for measurable precipitation through
Thursday. However, the deterministic GFS soln tonight does drop
a clipper system across eastern Montana into the Nebraska
Panhandle next Wednesday night, which does result in cooler
readings for Thursday and a small threat for pcpn. in the west.
This clipper is void in the latest deterministic EC soln. which
agrees with the EC, GFS, and NBM ensemble forecasts. That being
said, feel confident in a dry forecast going forward. As for
temperatures, the NBM ensemble forecast indicates highs
generally in the lower to middle 60s Sunday through Thursday.
This is in good agreement with the EC and GFS ensembles for next
week. With average highs next week typically in the mid to
upper 50s for the second week of November, forecast highs will
be running 5 to 10 degrees above climo through Thursday. Beyond
Thursday, a low amplitude ridge to a more zonal pattern is
indicated in the latest deterministic GFS and EC solns. This
would lead to a continuation of above normal temperatures and
dry conditions into the end of next week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 515 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026

Dense fog will continue to impact the KLBF and KVTN terminals
through 16z this morning. Visibilities around a quarter mile and
ceilings under 200 FT AGL are expected. Fog will begin to burn
off after 16z with scattered high clouds expected today. By
this evening, broken ceilings around 25000 FT AGL are expected
at both terminals.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CST /9 AM MST/ this morning for
NEZ005-006-008-009-025>027-037-038-059-071-094.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MRS
LONG TERM...Buttler
AVIATION...Buttler

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion