281
FXUS63 KLBF 082035
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
335 PM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cooler and drier air will spread southward across the area
  through Thursday night. Mainly dry conditions are expected.

- Moderate confidence severe storms Friday afternoon and evening
  with large hail and damaging winds being the primary threats.

- Low to moderate confidence in daily thunderstorms through the
  weekend and into early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 328 PM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026

A shortwave trough crossing the Dakotas has pushed a cold front
southward across the area this afternoon. The front currently
extends from eastern Nebraska into western Kansas. Mid-level warm
air advection to the north of the front is shifting eastward and
becoming focused across eastern Nebraska. Lingering widely scattered
showers across the area should end as the WAA shifts out of the
area. Conditions should be mostly dry then for the overnight hours
tonight. Drier air continues to slowly mix southward across the
area, with dew points now in the lower to mid 40s across northern
Nebraska. This drier air will continue to work it`s way southward
tonight as surface high pressure builds into the area from the
north. This will allow temperatures to drop into the 50s in many
locations across the area by sunrise Wednesday morning.

A secondary cold front pushes across the area Wednesday morning as
the high pressure center surges southeastward into western Nebraska
by afternoon. This will bring a period of gusty north to northeast
winds during the morning hours, with winds decreasing during the
afternoon as the high becomes centered across the Sandhills.

The high remains nearly stationary across the area Wednesday night,
allowing for a cool night. It will feel "fall like" as lows drop
into the upper 40s to lower 50s by Thursday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 328 PM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026

Active weather returns on Friday as a cold front approaches the
area. Increased moisture ahead of the front will provide a favorable
environment for thunderstorm development by Friday afternoon. Ample
instability will exist across much of the region into Friday evening
allowing for severe thunderstorms to develop. Initially,
thunderstorms will be discrete in nature with a very large hail
potential. As the evening progresses, thunderstorms will congeal
into a line becoming more of a damaging wind threat. Current SPC
outlooks for day 4 highlight this potential for severe thunderstorms
across the area as well, which seems to be in good agreement with
current thinking at this time.

Unsettled weather will continue through the middle of next week as a
series of disturbances pivot across the region. While the severe
risk remains uncertain beyond Friday night/Saturday morning, some
stronger to briefly severe storms will be entirely possible with
thunderstorms mainly confined to the late afternoon and early
evening hours, weakening overnight as more stable air moves into the
area after sunset. Will continue to monitor the severe potential
heading into the weekend and into next week.

Temperatures will remain above normal in the low to mid 90s on
Friday, however with the cold front passage on Friday evening, highs
will drop significantly for the weekend and into next week. The
cooler airmass, combined with continued clouds and precipitation
will keep highs from rising out of the 70s through next Tuesday.
Overnight lows will also drop drastically through early next week.
Expect temperatures to range from the low 40s in the northwest to
the low 50s into south central Nebraska.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1251 PM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026

Scattered showers and TSTMS should gradually come to an end this
afternoon. Otherwise VFR conditions will prevail through
Wednesday morning. There is a possibility of some patchy low
ceilings (MVFR) across north central Nebraska Wednesday morning
but confidence is low on this.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Taylor
LONG TERM...Kulik
AVIATION...Taylor

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion