367
FXUS63 KLBF 060908
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
Issued by National Weather Service Rapid City SD
308 AM CST Thu Nov 6 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Fire weather concerns will increase Today and Friday with near
  critical fire weather conditions possible Today and elevated
  conditions on Friday.

- There is a chance for precipitation across far northern
  Nebraska Friday night into Saturday. Much colder temperatures
  are expected Saturday into Sunday with a gradual warm up
  beginning Monday

- Windy conditions are likely Saturday behind an exiting
  Canadian cold front.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 303 AM CST Thu Nov 6 2025

Today through Friday...Surface low pressure will track from the
Black Hills into eastern North Dakota today. Southerly winds
this morning, will shift to the west by midday, increasing to 10
to 20 MPH across the area. Across the western half of the
forecast area, mixing potential will be decent this afternoon as
highs reach into the mid to upper 60s. This will lead to some
gusts approaching 35 MPH in the west per the latest GFS and
NAM12 Bufkit soundings. The highest gusts will be confined to
the southeastern Nebraska Panhandle, far SW Nebraska and
portions of the western Sandhills. Further east to the Highway
83 corridor, gust potential of 25 to 30 MPH will be common. With
expected highs in the mid to upper 60s and dew points in the
upper 20s to near 30 this afternoon, minimum RH will bottom out
in the 20 to 30 percent range, generally west of highway 83.
This will lead to near critical fire weather conditions this
afternoon over zones 204, 206 and 210. Temperatures will be mild
tonight with light westerly winds and mainly clear skies. Lows
will be in the lower to middle 30s. A weak upper level
disturbance, will track from eastern North Dakota into Minnesota
Friday. This will force a cold front into northeastern and east
central South Dakota. Slightly cooler air will be in place
across the forecast area for Friday with H85 temps ranging from
6C in the northeast to 11C in the southwest. This will equate to
highs around 60.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 303 AM CST Thu Nov 6 2025

Friday night through Wednesday...A stronger upper level
disturbance will drop south from the Dakotas Friday night into
Saturday. There will be a small threat for light precipitation
Friday night into Saturday across far northern into northeastern
Nebraska. Timing of forcing with this disturbance will preclude
a strong cold front so ptypes should be all liquid. On Saturday,
behind the exiting initial shortwave, a strong cold front will
track through the forecast area, leading to gusty winds across
the area. Wind gusts up to 45 MPH look probable and there is
some potential for 50+ MPH wind gusts over north central
Nebraska per the latest NBM ensemble probabilities. Behind the
exiting front, cold air will settle in for Sunday into Monday.
Highs Sunday will struggle to reach the middle 30s over the
northeast. Further southwest, highs may reach only into the
middle 40s. Cold air will be short lived as ridging builds into
the western half of the CONUS toward the middle and end of next
week. Expect dry conditions with highs in the 50s and lower 60s
Monday and 60s for Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1125 PM CST Wed Nov 5 2025

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through Thursday night
across western and north central Nebraska. Winds remain gusty
from the south into early Thursday afternoon, with gusts of 20
to 30kts near and north of I-80. Southerly LLWS persists into
early Thursday morning as well.

Winds shift from west to west-northwest by Thursday evening,
with gusts of 20 to 30kts west of HWY 83.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WFO UNR
LONG TERM...WFO UNR
AVIATION...Brown

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion