459
FXUS63 KLBF 021150
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
550 AM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Precipitation continues through Tuesday morning, with the
  greatest accumulations expected north of HWY 2.

- Strong northwest winds are expected behind a cold front
  Monday night into Tuesday, with a threat for wind gusts as
  high as 55 miles per hour.

- Temperatures return to near seasonal mid week onward. Through
  the end of the week, precipitation chances remain low.
  Precipitation may return by the weekend, however, confidence
  remains low at this time.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 201 AM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

Currently, rain continues to overspread much of western and north
central Nebraska, ahead of deepening surface low pressure across
eastern Wyoming. Temperatures remain steady in the middle to upper
50s across the area, amid continued southeasterly warm advection.
Modest MUCAPE ~250-500J/kg has overspread western and southwest
Nebraska, as lapse rates have steepened aloft ahead of the
encroaching upper low beginning to eject east into the Rockies.

For today, expect ongoing precipitation to continue to slowly spread
north and east through this morning, gradually exiting into South
Dakota by this afternoon. This is as the surface low begins to eject
eastwards into the Sandhills, dragging a cold front quickly across
the area today from west to east. A brief lull in precipitation can
be expected with frontal passage this afternoon, before the upper
low begins to move east and the deformation axis begins to
overspread western Nebraska by this evening and tonight. Guidance
continues to be in good agreement with a lack of cold air within
this deformation axis, with a model consensus even pointing to H85
temps remaining above freezing through the entirety of the event.
This will keep all precipitation as liquid, and will certainly limit
impacts as winds strengthen behind the cold front. In all, the
greatest accumulations look to remain for areas north of HWY 2, with
amounts of 0.5-1.0" possible. Areas further south will likely see
lesser longevity of precipitation this morning, and look to remain
south of the deformation band tonight into Tuesday. Accumulations
south of HWY 2 are largely expected to remain 

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion