366
FXUS63 KLBF 222054
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
354 PM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered thunderstorms are again expected tonight. Gusty
  winds could accompany some of the storms this evening across
  far southwest Nebraska. Another round of thunderstorms should
  move across the area Thursday afternoon into the evening.

- Hot temperatures will return this weekend, then slightly
  cooler next week with a return to chances for showers/storms.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 336 PM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

ECMWF ENS PWATS remain impressive with around 1.5" area wide. This
is well above the 90th %tile and matches the observed 18Z sounding
value of 1.52". Another disturbance is forecast to cross the area
and act on this sub-tropical moisture to moving northward through
the Rockies and then turning eastward across the Plains on the
northern side of the upper high. Initially, convection is expected
to develop off the higher terrain across CO and WY this afternoon.
These could contain some gusty winds as they spread across northeast
CO into perhaps far southwest NE. Later in the evening and
overnight, more elevated showers and storms should develop
especially across central Nebraska. However, at least some chance
across the rest of the area in this very moist environment.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms should continue
Thursday morning. A lull is then expected later in the afternoon
when the last in this series of disturbances move through. Appears
that numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms will form across
northwest NE and then track southeastward through the evening hours.
Locally heavy rainfall could occur as these spread southeast across
the region.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 336 PM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

The upper level ridging builds northward from the Southern Plains
again Friday into the weekend. This will bring a return to hot
temperatures, with some areas likely pushing advisory criteria, with
temperatures above 100 degrees. By early next week, the ridge sinks
back across the southern plains. This will allow for a return of
several disturbances rotating around the high. Moisture content will
remain high as sub-tropical moisture continues rotate north and then
eastward across the region. This will likely lead to an increase in
showers and thunderstorms once again along with a slight cooling
trend in temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1239 PM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

MVFR ceilings will likely develop across portions of northern
Nebraska again tonight. Scattered TSTMS are expected once again
as well. The greatest concentration will likely be across
central Nebraska after midnight. Scattered SHWRS and TSTMS will
continue into Thursday morning.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Taylor
LONG TERM...Taylor
AVIATION...Taylor

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion